Futures Thinking: What will define the next era of civic life?

What will define the next era of civic life?

"I like the dreams of the future better than the history of the past."
—Thomas Jefferson, 1816, in a letter to John Adams

Futures Thinking is a disciplined, research-informed approach to examining multiple possible futures so leaders can make wiser choices in the present (Miller, 2018; GAO, 2020).

Futures Thinking tests assumptions, surfaces uncertainty, and explores how forces interact over time—revealing risks, opportunities, and second-order effects before they become locked in (Inayatullah, 2008). It asks: What futures are emerging, which are worth preserving or pursuing, and what responsibilities do we carry toward those who come next? (Miller, 2018)

At Civic Futures Institute, we apply Futures Thinking to civic life—how people participate, build trust, govern together, and renew and sustain democratic institutions. Using horizon scanning, scenario development, and futures mapping, we help communities identify early signals of change and make decisions with longer time horizons and greater civic confidence (Inayatullah, 2008; GAO, 2020).

Why this matters now

America is strained by polarization, short-term thinking, and eroding trust. Many believe the system is fixed and unmovable - but the disruptions of the present moment reveal that the future is still open, and can be shaped by the choices we make. Civic Futures Institute is guided by a simple conviction drawn from America's own promise: this is the Country of Tomorrow, and its renewal requires the engagement of each citizen. By leveraging trust, participation, and responsibility as growth assets - and expanding civic imagination - we advance America's promise.

Featured Research

Map of the Future - Civic Life in America's Next Decade
ARRIVING IN 2026

Map of the Future

Civic Life in America's Next Decade

Map of the Future: Civic Life in America's Next Decade is a
10-year foresight project designed to explore how civic engagement may evolve - and how we might shape its next chapter.

Map of the Future

Using a structured foresight research methodology informed by Institute for the Future's foresight cycle, this project will develop a Map of the Future offering a 10-year forecast of civic life reimagined. Three to four scenarios will comprise the forecast and serve as tools to inspire America 250 organizations and communities to boldly envision participatory futures. Each scenario—whether charting everyday engagement, new citizen power, tech-augmented governance or a revival of patriotism and civic faith—will stretch our thinking, challenge assumptions, and serve as tools for strategic dialogue among cross-sector leaders.

Outcomes

  • • Introduce futures thinking and expand civic imagination
  • • Spot powerful trends and "signals" shaping civic life
  • • Equip leaders with new tools to think long-term and optimistically
  • • Inspire participatory futures rooted in American ideals
"Maps are about understanding 'what ifs' and exploring the different paths the future could take, with the goal of preparing for and shaping a desired future."
—Institute for the Future (IFTF)
Future Ohio - An initiative of the America 250-Ohio Commission
Journey With Us

Future Ohio

Projecting Ohio in 2076

An initiative of the America 250-Ohio Commission,
Future Ohio engages cross-sector leaders in imagining
and shaping possible futures for Ohio as we celebrate
the nation's 250th anniversary.